“it is not over, because it is never over”
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It is never over
“it is not over, because it is never over”
@josuevizcay ig Twitter
http://viiahemp.com Promo Code BET15% Off
https://linktr.ee/esbcpodcastnetwork
NFL corruption that results in higher prices for fans. At this point only upper middle class can go to the games, and only middle class can afford to watch the games. Poor people have to work or watch the games at the bar to work the price of watching games with food.
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In this episode we tackle the history of NFL corruption that results in higher prices for fans. At this point only upper middle class can go to the games, and only middle class can afford to watch the games. Poor people have to work or watch the games at the bar to work the price of watching games with food.
The Kentucky Derby had a 270 million dollar handle The 2022 all-sources handle figure is an increase of more than 10 percent over the previous non-Triple Crown record of $102,163,280 for the Belmont linktr.ee/esbcpodcastnetworkPreakness Stakes officials, no doubt, celebrated the record handle of $112,504,509
www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/ar…-to-233-million Crime Reference for Podcast Episodes Preakness Handle 2022- $138 million in wagers Mis spoke on Podcast Linda Rice has bought over a Trillion dollars in horses to race and sale prices / $89,000,000 in winnings Only races in New York ? Why ?
In 2003, gamblers wagered more US$15 billion on horse races in the United States, according to Jockey Club statistics, a high-water mark that has been swirling down the drain ever since. (The amount bet in Canada peaked in 1990 at US$823 million). The betting numbers ticked up to US$12.2 billion in 2021, but factor in inflation, toss in a pandemic, and wagering today is half what it was 20 years ago
To cover her shady training and business processes ? Evidence is defined as information and events that can be proven
1) Video evidence with corroboration of the information
2) Contemporaneous documentation with corroboration
3) Eye witness testimony with several sources that corroborate the eye witness testimony
4) Probability theory where variables are eliminated to a logical conclusion and a 20 % “luck factor” is added to the process Strategy – Transparency – Information flow – Exploit market inefficiencies – Return
To the mean -Arbitrage -Return to mean -Law of opposites – Enjoy the ride Anti-Social Personality Disorder
1) Lack Of remorse
2)Frequent lying
3) Lack Of Empathy
4) Superficial Charm
5) Lack Of Positive Emotions
6) Distorted sense of Self
7) Constant source of new sensations
Vertical Integration
The combination in one company of two or more stages of production normally operated by separate companies.
Who are those people?
What is their background?
What is their expertise?
Are they credible?
Are the genuine? What’s the structure of the business model?
Where does their allegiance lie?
Do they have any particular self interest?
ESBC True Crime 10 Insights
1. Do not commit: 2 crimes at the same time
2. Do not go back to the scene of perfect crime
3. Dig deep graves ; you never hear in the about deep graves being found
4. Truth is stranger more bazaar then fiction. (Always do your research)
5. Use Academic Decision science to make decisions
6. Know and study selective prosecution doctrine used by law enforcement
7. If you live in the past you die In The past “Pete Carroll”
8. Common Sense is not so common
9. Every meeting has to have a specific purpose and Outcome
10. For something to be business it has to be repeatable ; profitable: quantifiable and scalable
Also we tell the story of American True Crime within the Horse Racking Industry, local municipal and county governments perennially in the United States
In “Horse Racing True Crime” up coming true life story narratives. We give over view of the super rich and crime 70% NFL Picks Against The Spread counting NFL College Football, College Basketball, Horse Racing and Major League Baseball. @josuevizcay (#MLB #College Basketball #NBA #College Football ) Josh Abner
MBA Financial Representative & US Local Political corruption historian makes you are always up ; with Picks at a high percentage but teaches the “how” that is linktr.ee/esbcpodcastnetwork #winnerswin
scott cobe @sjcobe1
No tax payers money should go to Horse Racing boards
Audio Version at links Below All Platforms
https://linktr.ee/esbcpodcastnetwork
Apple Podcast Link Below
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/esbc-nfland-sports-betting-podcast-network/id1478807104
4 out the 5 Triples Crown Races we have given out profitable information
@josuevizcay twitter ig
@sjcobe twitter
Should Tax payers pay for horse racing boards
” We have had enough” Ultra Negativity #pandemic #war babies dying his message resonates with me “put on the oxygen mask on” turn off #andersoncooper & execute #selfcare
Byron Low
760-707-8874
“Approval seeking is one of the worst things you can do in life”
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Life Lessons Breaking Down Bob Baffert
Apple Podcast Above
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The Kentucky Derby had a 270 million dollar handle The 2022 all-sources handle figure is an increase of more than 10 percent over the previous
non-Triple Crown record of $102,163,280 for the Belmont linktr.ee/esbcpodcastnetworkPreakness
Stakes officials, no doubt, celebrated the record handle of $112,504,509
www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/ar…-to-233-million
Crime Reference for Podcast Episodes
Preakness Handle 2022- $130 million in wagers
Evidence is defined as information and events that can be proven
1) Video evidence with corroboration of the information
2) Contemporaneous documentation with corroboration
3) Eye witness testimony with several sources that corroborate the eye witness testimony
4) Probability theory where variables are eliminated to a logical conclusion and a 20 % “luck factor” is added to the process
Anti-Social Personality Disorder
1) Lack Of remorse
2)Frequent lying
3) Lack Of Empathy
4) Superficial Charm
5) Lack Of Positive Emotions
6) Distorted sense of Self
7) Constant source of new sensations
Vertical Integration
The combination in one company of two or more stages of production normally operated by separate companies.
Also we tell the story of American True Crime within the Horse Racking Industry, local municipal and county governments perennially in the United States In this episode we meet the type of activists that attack the Horse Racing Industry over deaths that seems to be for over spiking horses for massive profit
In this episode we profile like writing a script in a movie the back story of the characters involved in “Horse Racing True Crime” up coming true life story narratives. We give over view of the super rich and crime
70% NFL Picks Against The Spread counting NFL College Football, College Basketball, Horse Racing and Major League Baseball. @josuevizcay (#MLB #College Basketball #NBA #College Football )
Josh Abner MBA Financial Representative & US Local Political historian makes you are always up ; with Picks at a high percentage but teaches the “how” that is omitted from helping you out to win consistently
linktr.ee/esbcpodcastnetwork #winnerswin
scott cobe @sjcobe1
81% NFL Playoffs On Picks 52.5% is Breakeven
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/esbc-nfland-sports-betting-podcast-network/id1478807104
Systematically betting on NFL, College Football, College Basketball, and some NBA allows you to make a decision without having to hear anyone else’s mouth.
You can always win and have money in your pocket to avoid “Hard Times” in the “American Dream” Dusty Rhodes sense.
Over a 10 year period with my brother who I met at work in Carlsbad California: Victor Cappello; have come up with a process of 243 rules of betting. The result of those rules are we paid for Vegas trips including our legendary 4 days in Vegas for the start of the 2010 NCAA tournament where we won over 90% of our bets and did a crazy parlay that we only needed
Texas to in-bounds the ball and we would have been retired.
However, that is the “beauty” and “fun” of betting like sociologist; you enjoy the madness and craziness of human nature. Even though it is Sports gambling ; it is very clean compared to other forms of entertainment these days.
Through out the last 3000 years Westernized society irregardless of religions influence with the governments has had some sort of legalized wagering
You have to have a system or code you live by; not only to make money betting but have fun and laugh while you are doing it. Each part of the country is different. Therefore outcomes vary.
I am originally from Los Angeles California and spent 20 years in Florida and now I have been back in Southern California for the past 12 years. Victor is originally from Buffalo, we met in Carlsbad California and we have used our knowledge and sports together for a million laughs over the last decade.
Also, we have paid rent and Christmas presents with our picks. Here are your top 10 Sports gambling rules and remember come up with a few of your own and let us know.
3. If you lose it is not because of “bad luck” it is because you picked the wrong team; No Such Thing As A “Badbeat” The reason you can make money consistently in Sportsbetting is that coaches like Bill Belicheat, Nick Satan and Andy Reid have scripts for the 1st 20 plays of every game and map out how the season will go. Therefore after watching games your whole life you can pick up on patterns and predict how players and teams will react.
It is a natural human reaction to try to make yourself better ; that is the reason 90% of people do not want to admit that they are wrong.
However, like in economics, the “opposite of every truth is also true”. Betting uses the mathematical law of “opposites”. For every coach like Andy Reid there are new coaches like Anthony Lynn of the San Diego Chargers right now in 2019. I am sure he is trying to do the same things as Belicheat and Reid but since every As a result you get random outcomes that you can consistently bet against; depending on the situation. I have been told by people that work at NFL teams front offices that even though it is “counter-intuitive” there is not a consistent book of best practices for every team.
You can tell which team has a good management system and which do not. The league Commissioner makes sure the “goose that is laying the golden eggs” PR and marketing do not get affected by the different management styles. Each NFL team for example has 4 built in wins.Therefore after each outcome reflect and think why you got the pick right or wrong
4. Never Bet More Than 25% Of Bank Roll: If you were psychic you would know the Lottery numbers. Because of evolution and coping mechanisms we overestimate decisions. So no matter how much you think a team will win; to keep money in your bankroll to have fun never bet more than 25% of your bankroll. 52% is break even and 70% is the goal to attain.
5. Never Parlay Games: “Salesmen think short-term and businessmen think long term” the variables are too many to be a good business decision pure entertainment is another story. The probability of a favorable outcome math wise has the least variables and co-varables. When you do a parlay you are added a variable that is designed to eliminate your profit and free cash flow.
6. Bet The Moneyline: Do not get killed by extra point missed. Again from a math perspective you eliminate some variables and co-variables that may effect a positive outcome. If you are not feeling a clear edge point the point
7.Bet The Coaches Not The Players Coaches especially in College control the game. What are the coaches goals? Does he care about bowl games; and wears out his teams getting reps for the next season? Does he only care about the season regular season division title like Bill Self and lose early in the tournament? Is the coach like Belicheat where the full offensive and defensive schemes are not in until the playoffs? is there “bad blood” between the coaches?
Big debate if you can predict turnovers ? New England has always been great at protecting the ball and we have made a lot of money picking the under based on that and Belicheats coaching philosophy.
8) Myth Lines Are Made For Betting On Both Sides & Any Statistic Is Useful “Lines are lies” Lines are made to make money. If the lines makers can get 80% of the people to bet the wrong team “they” love it. I have a client who does analytics for a major league baseball team and will not take any NFL clients
and works for a major league baseball team that has won a World Series using her analytics formula and analysis.
She is the smartest person I have ever met. She is a mathematician-. She states analytics does not work in football because mathematically there are too many variables in football. Sports books are not regulated like Robinhood or E-trade. As a result we have no idea really what exactly are the flows of cash.
So logic will tell you that the lines are in the best interest of the Casino, Sportsbook, and Hotel conglomerate not you.
9) Stop Betting If You Are Not Laughing All The Time, Having Fun And Helps You Escape From Reality
10)Use The Same Logic And Process For Investing In Stocks, Businesses And In Products In Betting. Value is value.
10. A -The same level of organization
My process is this
If you have information that the masses do not have then go for it; put money down.
10. B-Avoid recency bias ”
As Robert Glazer writes “The concept of regression to the mean was first discovered by the statistician and sociologist Sir Francis Galton. As part of his research, Galton observed that tall parents tended to have children who were shorter than them, whereas short parents often had children who were taller than them.
Based on this, Galton developed the principle of regression to the mean, which states that in any series with complex phenomena that are dependent on many variables, where chance is involved, extreme outcomes tend to be followed by more moderate ones. In other words, if something extremely unexpected happens, it is likely to be followed by something that’s more aligned with statistical projections or expectations.
We have a tendency to overreact to results in the short term and use those outcomes to make long term decisions, ignoring the reality of regression to the mean. In particular, we tend to ignore the role of luck and timing when evaluating extreme early outcomes. “
“Regression to the mean” plays out its importance with betting lines
While is it is important how Casinos just come up with lines just as important the history behind the lines.
The modern line has it’s roots in Lefty Rosenthal. He is the inspiration for the Movie Casino.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_Rosenthal You can read his full Wikipedia here. He eventually started the “Line institute” who sold lines to Casino’s. And then the Bookmaker at the Casino creates the final line based on his research.
As a result rule #2 of betting after rule #1 do not bet your own team is do your research. Any question feel free to reach out to our twitter handles www.twitter.com/josuevizcay @cnolan
Financial and math terms such as
*Arbitrage- Buying and selling similar securities
*Return to mean
*Law of opposites
People have never gotten rich with Technical Analysis but has gotten rich selling it
Qualitative Fundamentals to Consider
There are four key fundamentals that analysts always consider when regarding a company. All are qualitative rather than quantitative. They include:
* The business model:
* Competitive advantage:
* Management:
Find more information on our other video and long form articles on our website linktr.ee/esbcpodcastnetwork
Reference for Podcast Episodes
Evidence is defined as information and events that can be proven
1) Video evidence with corroboration of the information
2) Contemporaneous documentation with corroboration
3) Eye witness testimony with several sources that corroborate the eye witness testimony
4) Probability theory where variables are eliminated to a logical conclusion and a 20 % “luck factor” is added to the process
Anti-Social Personality Disorder
1) Lack Of remorse
2)Frequent lying
3) Lack Of Empathy
4) Superficial Charm
5) Lack Of Positive Emotions
6) Distorted sense of Self
7) Constant source of new sensations
Evidence
1) Video evidence with corroboration of the information
2) Contemporaneous documentation with corroboration
3) Eye witness testimony with several sources that corroborate the eye witness testimony
4) Probability theory where variables are eliminated to a logical conclusion and a 20 % “luck factor” is added to the process
References
Thinking in Bets. 2018.
Interference : how organized crime influences professional football. 1989.
Belichick : the making of the greatest football coach of all time 2019
https://www.podbean.com/media/share/pb-cvwc5-10404ab
Gardner In 2017 Gardner was voted Mayor of Lake Forest California
PHD Gardner brings a wealth of experience to the Podcast. He has a doctorate in Clinical Psychology and worked as a Therapist as well as a Professor.
Josh Abner MBA – Financial Services “Makes Businesses And Individuals Money” And is a “Local Political Corruption Historian”
Everything we talk about is based on facts ; direct evidence as defined by the state of California Civil and Criminal codes and general best practices for direct evidence nationwide
Videos with corroboration
Documentation that is contemporaneous with corroboration
Eye Witness testimony with corroboration
Everything we talk about is based on evidenced based science
linktr.ee/esbcpodcastnetwork In this Podcast we set the ground rules for what is a Fact ? What is direct evidence ?
What are the central triggers that are fundamental and at the root of the Capital Riots and focus on profiling the police who got arrested at the Capitol PHD Gardner brings a wealth of experience to the Podcast.
Dr. Gardner news sources
Fox News
Josh Abner MBA Financial Services “Makes individuals and Businesses
Money”
Josh’s news souces
Fox News
New York Times
Washington Examiner
Los Angeles Times
Barrons
Boston Globe
The Economist
linktr.ee/esbcpodcastnetwork
Anti-Social Personality Disorder
1) Lack Of remorse
2)Frequent lying
3) Lack Of Empathy
4) Superficial Charm
5) Lack Of Positive Emotions
6) Distorted sense of Self
7) Constant source of new sensations
www.verywellmind.com/personality-di…ders-a2-425427
www.usatoday.com/storytelling/cap…iot-mob-arrests/ www.insider.com/all-the-us-capito…rges-names-2021-1
www.fbi.gov/news/testimony/conf…ing-white-supremacy www.fbi.gov/news/stories/domestic-threat